Foxborough, MA – December 2025. The Buffalo Bills travel to Gillette Stadium on Sunday, December 14, to face the red-hot New England Patriots in one of the most anticipated AFC East showdowns of the 2025 season.
The game will kick off at 11 a.m. MST and be broadcast nationally on CBS, with streaming available on FUBO.
Odds and Betting Lines
According to BetMGM Sportsbook, this matchup is nearly a coin flip:
- Spread: Bills -1
- Moneyline: Bills -115, Patriots -105
- Over/Under: 49.5 points
Expert Picks and Predictions
- Arizona Republic Prediction: Bills 24, Patriots 23
Despite New England’s 10-game winning streak and home-field advantage, Josh Allen is projected to make the defining play late to steal a narrow road win.
- Bookies.com Betting Insight: Patriots Moneyline
Analyst Bill Speros highlights Mike Vrabel’s perfect 6–0 record off a bye week, including a dominant win over Buffalo in 2020. New England enters at 11–2, tied for the best record in football.
- Sports Betting Dime Projection:
Patriots 23.2, Bills 21.6
Their model slightly favors New England. - Dimers Simulation:
Bills 25, Patriots 23
Win probabilities: Bills 56%, Patriots 44%. - ESPN Playoff Predictor:
Bills: 52.9% chance to win
Patriots: 46.7% chance to win - Sportsnaut Prediction: Patriots 24, Bills 21
New England is expected to complete the season sweep, having already beaten Buffalo 23–20 in Week 3.
Game Outlook
New England enters the matchup on a 10-game winning streak, fresh off a bye week and sitting at 11–2, one of the best records in the NFL. Their Week 3 win over Buffalo helped launch
Drake Maye’s MVP-caliber season, giving the Patriots early control in the AFC East.
Buffalo, however, enters at full strength and with the league’s reigning MVP under center. Josh Allen and the Bills are seeking revenge
after the early-season loss, believing turnovers, not talent, determined the first meeting.
The contrast is sharp. New England thrives on defensive discipline and ball control. Buffalo brings explosiveness, tempo, and one of the most dynamic quarterbacks in football. Weather, turnovers, and late-game execution are expected to decide the outcome.
Final Word
Virtually every projection has this as a one-score game. Whether it’s Allen’s late-game heroics or Drake Maye’s steady rise, this AFC East battle could reshape the playoff picture in one afternoon
. Expect tension, physicality, and playoff intensity at Gillette.
Buffalo Bills WR Keon Coleman Will Not Travel With Team To Houston After Posting Controversial Status
The Buffalo Bills will keep wide receiver Keon Coleman off the travel roster for the game against the Houston Texans. The decision comes after a new wave of disciplinary concerns and a controversial social media post that angered fans.
Coleman was already under internal review after being made a healthy scratch in the win over Tampa Bay. Head coach Sean McDermott confirmed he was benched because he arrived late to an important team meeting.
The situation escalated when Coleman posted the message, “I have never been to Houston, and I will probably never go there.” Although he deleted it shortly after, screenshots spread quickly, and Bills fans widely criticized the attitude shown.
Team sources said the timing of the post played a major role in the decision. With Buffalo preparing for a crucial prime-time game, the coaching staff chose to move forward only with players fully aligned to team standards.
The Bills will instead travel with Khalil Shakir, Elijah Moore, Tyrell Shavers, Gabe Davis and Joshua Palmer. This marks the second straight week Coleman is removed from the active rotation.
Drafted thirty third overall in 2024 to help replace Stefon Diggs, Coleman flashed promise as a rookie, but his sophomore year has stalled with just 330 yards and three touchdowns in nine games.
The recent signing of Mecole Hardman increases competition and puts more pressure on Coleman to regain the trust of the coaching staff. For now, his future role in Buffalo remains uncertain as the team continues evaluating his professionalism.